Peña Fragatina vs Alcampell analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.1%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
22.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peña Fragatina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
PFR
2 - 0
AIN
81%
12%
7%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
LAF
2 - 3
PFR
23%
22%
55%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
BUJ
1 - 2
PFR
36%
23%
42%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
PFR
6 - 1
CFJ
67%
17%
16%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
BIE
2 - 0
PFR
59%
20%
21%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Alcampell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
BUJ
4 - 3
ALC
26%
22%
53%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
ALC
7 - 0
CFJ
72%
16%
11%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
BIE
3 - 1
ALC
59%
20%
21%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
ALC
0 - 1
SAN
50%
23%
27%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
GRA
0 - 0
ALC
23%
21%
56%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |