Peña el Valle vs UD Plus Ultra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.8%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
46.4%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+172%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peña el Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
BAR
1 - 5
PVA
81%
12%
7%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
PVA
2 - 1
ROC
21%
20%
59%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | +2 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
MET
4 - 3
PVA
67%
18%
15%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 1
PVA
51%
21%
28%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
PVA
0 - 3
CDC
11%
16%
73%
|
8 | 16 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
UD Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
PUL
3 - 0
SAN
75%
14%
11%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
CDC
3 - 1
PUL
65%
18%
18%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
PUL
6 - 0
GAR
78%
13%
9%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
LOG
0 - 6
PUL
21%
19%
60%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
PUL
5 - 3
CDN
16%
17%
67%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | +1 |