Penya Deportiva vs Numancia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.3%
50.9%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
15.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
25.8%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
15.5%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penya Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
CFB
1 - 1
PXD
24%
27%
49%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
PXD
0 - 2
HUE
66%
21%
13%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
EJE
0 - 1
PXD
14%
24%
61%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2022 |
IBI
1 - 1
PXD
73%
17%
10%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2022 |
PXD
0 - 3
SDF
54%
25%
22%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
NUM
2 - 0
TER
73%
18%
9%
|
64 | 45 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
CER
2 - 2
NUM
19%
25%
56%
|
64 | 47 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
NUM
1 - 0
RCD
63%
22%
15%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2021 |
NUM
5 - 0
RRI
76%
15%
9%
|
64 | 44 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
CDE
1 - 1
NUM
16%
26%
58%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |