Penya Deportiva vs Mercadal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.7%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
23.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penya Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
MNU
0 - 1
PXD
20%
24%
56%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
PXD
0 - 0
FER
76%
16%
8%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
UDA
1 - 2
PXD
21%
23%
57%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
PXD
1 - 1
CFP
70%
18%
12%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
CLL
2 - 3
PXD
38%
25%
37%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Mercadal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
MER
1 - 0
PCE
52%
23%
24%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
SDF
1 - 0
MER
55%
23%
23%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
MER
1 - 1
SLL
55%
23%
22%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
MNC
1 - 1
MER
23%
24%
53%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
MER
2 - 0
BNS
42%
27%
31%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | +2 |