Penya Deportiva vs Mercadal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.4%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
10.6%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penya Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
ALA
0 - 2
PXD
20%
25%
55%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
PXD
3 - 0
UDA
75%
17%
8%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
MNU
0 - 0
PXD
24%
26%
50%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
PXD
0 - 1
ATB
54%
24%
22%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
ALC
0 - 3
PXD
18%
25%
56%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Mercadal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
UDA
2 - 1
MER
42%
25%
33%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
MER
2 - 3
ATB
25%
24%
52%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
CAM
2 - 4
MER
54%
23%
23%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
MER
1 - 1
ESP
41%
24%
35%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
SRF
1 - 1
MER
53%
23%
25%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | +1 |