Penya Deportiva vs Ferriolense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.2%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
21.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penya Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2007 |
CON
1 - 0
PXD
28%
28%
44%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
PXD
2 - 1
VIL
71%
19%
10%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2007 |
MAR
2 - 0
PXD
39%
29%
33%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
PXD
5 - 0
MNC
61%
23%
17%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
IBI
1 - 0
PXD
47%
27%
26%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Ferriolense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2007 |
FER
3 - 1
ATB
55%
22%
23%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
SLL
2 - 6
FER
20%
25%
55%
|
33 | 15 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2007 |
FER
3 - 3
ADC
63%
20%
17%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
MHN
1 - 0
FER
38%
28%
34%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
ALA
0 - 1
FER
38%
27%
35%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | +1 |