Tercera - Postupové Play Off Semi-finals
Global 0-1
Penya Deportiva vs Algeciras CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.3%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
45.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penya Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2015 |
PXD
1 - 0
RAC
49%
26%
26%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
RAC
0 - 1
PXD
55%
23%
22%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
LLO
4 - 0
PXD
47%
25%
28%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -2 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
PXD
3 - 1
PBL
51%
24%
25%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2015 |
CDS
1 - 0
PXD
24%
23%
53%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Algeciras CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2015 |
ALG
1 - 1
ACF
64%
21%
15%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
ACF
0 - 0
ALG
28%
29%
44%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
COR
2 - 3
ALG
22%
27%
51%
|
49 | 34 | 15 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
ALG
3 - 2
ASJ
74%
17%
9%
|
49 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
ROC
0 - 2
ALG
16%
25%
59%
|
49 | 24 | 25 | 0 |