Penya Deportiva vs CE Alaior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
14.7%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penya Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
IBI
0 - 0
PXD
51%
26%
23%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
PXD
1 - 1
ATB
51%
26%
23%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
MNU
1 - 1
PXD
30%
28%
42%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
PXD
3 - 0
SLL
57%
25%
18%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
CON
2 - 0
PXD
54%
25%
21%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
CE Alaior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
ALA
3 - 0
CLL
41%
26%
33%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
SNF
5 - 2
ALA
62%
22%
16%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
ALA
1 - 2
ALC
73%
18%
10%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
BNS
2 - 1
ALA
46%
26%
28%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
ALA
1 - 1
CFP
52%
25%
22%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |