Peña Real Madrid vs River Melilla B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.4%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
9%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
69.2%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.9%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.7%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peña Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2017 |
REI
5 - 2
PEN
60%
19%
21%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
PEN
1 - 10
MEL
5%
11%
83%
|
10 | 30 | 20 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
INT
8 - 0
PEN
87%
9%
4%
|
10 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2017 |
PEN
1 - 4
GIM
41%
22%
37%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2008 |
ROQ
8 - 0
PEN
87%
9%
4%
|
9 | 44 | 35 | +2 |
Matches
River Melilla B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
MEL
1 - 4
REI
77%
14%
9%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
MEL
5 - 0
MEL
83%
11%
6%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
MEL
0 - 1
INT
46%
22%
32%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
GIM
2 - 1
MEL
22%
20%
58%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
MEL
1 - 1
MEL
35%
22%
43%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |