Peña Real Madrid vs Alhaurín de la Torre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.1%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.4%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23%
60.8%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peña Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2008 |
CDV
7 - 0
PEN
84%
11%
5%
|
13 | 34 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
PEN
0 - 3
ALM
16%
23%
61%
|
14 | 31 | 17 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
MAL
4 - 0
PEN
81%
13%
6%
|
14 | 33 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
MEN
5 - 0
PEN
85%
11%
5%
|
15 | 33 | 18 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2008 |
PEN
1 - 1
LOJ
19%
25%
55%
|
14 | 26 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Alhaurín de la Torre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2008 |
ALH
1 - 1
GRA
20%
28%
52%
|
24 | 43 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
ROQ
1 - 0
ALH
82%
12%
6%
|
25 | 47 | 22 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
ALH
1 - 1
ANT
30%
26%
44%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
ALH
2 - 2
ALH
69%
19%
12%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
ALH
0 - 0
ARE
23%
27%
49%
|
23 | 41 | 18 | +1 |