Peñacastillo vs Sd Reocín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.9%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.5%
24.6%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñacastillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
RIO
2 - 0
PEÑ
30%
23%
47%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2015 |
PEÑ
6 - 3
ISD
37%
22%
40%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
FOC
1 - 2
PEÑ
70%
16%
14%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
PEÑ
2 - 4
LIE
61%
20%
20%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | -2 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
SSD
2 - 2
PEÑ
30%
23%
48%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Sd Reocín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
SDR
2 - 1
FOC
22%
21%
57%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
LIE
3 - 1
SDR
49%
22%
30%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | -2 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
SDR
2 - 0
SSD
46%
22%
32%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
UNI
2 - 0
SDR
47%
23%
30%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | -2 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
SDR
1 - 0
OFC
39%
22%
39%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | +2 |