Peñacastillo vs Fortuna Camargo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.6%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.7%
32.8%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñacastillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2017 |
BEZ
2 - 4
PEÑ
34%
22%
45%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
PEÑ
1 - 2
TCD
72%
15%
13%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
JDM
2 - 0
PEÑ
38%
21%
41%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | -2 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
PEÑ
3 - 2
ISD
77%
13%
10%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
LIE
3 - 3
PEÑ
27%
21%
53%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Camargo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2017 |
ASR
1 - 1
FOC
28%
22%
50%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
FOC
3 - 1
RIO
66%
17%
17%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
SSD
0 - 1
FOC
30%
24%
46%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
FOC
2 - 2
MFC
30%
24%
46%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
MDP
2 - 2
FOC
46%
25%
29%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |