Peñacastillo vs CD Liendo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.5%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.1%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
40.1%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
5%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñacastillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
SMA
4 - 1
PEÑ
47%
24%
29%
|
8 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
OFC
1 - 0
PEÑ
39%
23%
39%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
PEÑ
0 - 1
CAS
48%
20%
32%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
MFC
2 - 0
PEÑ
80%
13%
7%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
PEÑ
1 - 1
RGA
16%
19%
65%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
CD Liendo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
LIE
4 - 2
FOC
13%
18%
68%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
JDM
4 - 3
LIE
76%
14%
10%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
SMA
2 - 0
LIE
38%
24%
39%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2018 |
ISD
3 - 2
LIE
52%
22%
26%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
LIE
0 - 2
FOC
19%
21%
60%
|
8 | 14 | 6 | -1 |