Peña Balsamaiso CF vs Racing Rioja B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.8%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.9%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
14.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
3º
9º
7º
14
12º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 59 |
3º
|
51% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
51% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 57 |
5º
|
62.5% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 55 |
6º
|
94% | |
|
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
55.5% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
9º
|
32.5% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
47% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 35 |
11º
|
2.5% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
6% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
71.5% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 24 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 19 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
14 | 14 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peña Balsamaiso CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
ANG
2 - 0
BAL
57%
21%
22%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
BAL
0 - 1
AGO
69%
18%
14%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
BAL
2 - 0
VAR
27%
23%
51%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | +2 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
CAS
0 - 0
BAL
55%
21%
24%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
BAL
0 - 1
NAX
27%
23%
51%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Racing Rioja B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
RRF
1 - 1
CAS
27%
22%
51%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
NAX
2 - 0
RRF
82%
12%
6%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
RRF
0 - 4
CDC
44%
22%
34%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
COM
3 - 2
RRF
52%
21%
27%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
RRF
1 - 1
OYO
46%
22%
32%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |