Pelotas vs Guarani RS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.3%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
24%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pelotas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2015 |
PEL
0 - 1
LAJ
45%
27%
29%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2015 |
LAJ
1 - 1
PEL
49%
26%
25%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
SCI
0 - 1
PEL
85%
12%
3%
|
50 | 84 | 34 | +2 |
| 18 Sep. 2015 |
PEL
4 - 1
SCI
9%
20%
71%
|
48 | 84 | 36 | +2 |
| 09 Sep. 2015 |
FAR
0 - 2
PEL
23%
26%
51%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Guarani RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
GUA
0 - 1
BRA
52%
25%
24%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2015 |
GLO
2 - 1
GUA
44%
27%
29%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Jul. 2015 |
GUA
1 - 1
SGA
59%
22%
19%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2015 |
GUA
1 - 0
BRA
49%
25%
26%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2015 |
BRA
1 - 0
GUA
35%
28%
37%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |