Pelotas vs Caxias do Sul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
30.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pelotas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2016 |
CAX
2 - 1
PEL
44%
27%
28%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2016 |
PEL
0 - 0
BRA
47%
26%
27%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
URS
0 - 1
PEL
36%
28%
36%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
GUA
0 - 1
PEL
37%
28%
35%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2016 |
PEL
3 - 0
SGA
47%
25%
28%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
CAX
3 - 1
ITU
22%
28%
51%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2016 |
CAX
2 - 1
PEL
44%
27%
28%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2016 |
GRE
3 - 0
CAX
51%
26%
24%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -2 |
| 16 Jun. 2016 |
CAX
1 - 1
URS
59%
23%
18%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
CAX
2 - 1
MET
41%
27%
32%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |