Pelli Santacroce vs Cerea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.3%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
62%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pelli Santacroce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
ACE
1 - 1
PEL
82%
13%
6%
|
17 | 38 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
PEL
0 - 3
SCA
17%
22%
60%
|
18 | 36 | 18 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
RAV
0 - 0
PEL
81%
13%
5%
|
17 | 57 | 40 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
PEL
0 - 1
LAN
20%
22%
58%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Cerea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
CER
2 - 1
PIS
24%
26%
50%
|
32 | 52 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
VIL
1 - 2
CER
30%
24%
46%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
CER
3 - 0
VIR
45%
25%
31%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | +2 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
FOR
1 - 2
CER
67%
20%
14%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | +1 |