Pelli Santacroce vs Bagnolese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
44.5%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pelli Santacroce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
ASS
0 - 3
PEL
56%
22%
22%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
PEL
1 - 0
FOR
24%
24%
52%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | +2 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
SAN
4 - 1
PEL
76%
16%
9%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
PEL
1 - 1
VIR
16%
21%
63%
|
21 | 40 | 19 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
CER
1 - 1
PEL
76%
15%
9%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Bagnolese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
BAG
0 - 3
PIS
26%
25%
49%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
VIL
1 - 1
BAG
27%
25%
49%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
FOR
2 - 0
BAG
58%
22%
20%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
BAG
3 - 1
VIR
36%
25%
40%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | +2 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
BAG
2 - 2
ROS
51%
24%
25%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |