Pelister vs Struga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
9%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.1%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.3%
48.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
6º
9º
7º
51
1º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pelister
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
SHK
2 - 0
PEL
68%
20%
12%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
PEL
1 - 0
SIL
35%
27%
38%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
VAR
1 - 0
PEL
42%
27%
32%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
PEL
1 - 1
GOS
40%
27%
33%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
PEL
1 - 1
RAB
39%
26%
35%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Struga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
FCS
2 - 0
AKP
62%
23%
16%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
RAB
2 - 0
FCS
32%
28%
40%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
FCS
1 - 0
BES
68%
20%
12%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
FCS
1 - 0
TIK
54%
24%
22%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
PYU
3 - 1
FCS
64%
20%
16%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |