Pelikaan vs Leeuwarder Zwaluwen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.7%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
13%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-78%
-37%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
1º
6º
1º
27
7º
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
3º
|
48 | 52 |
1º
|
66.5% | |
|
1º
|
48 | 51 |
2º
|
84.5% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
49% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 50 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 50 |
5º
|
43.5% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 32 |
8º
|
94% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 29 |
9º
|
55.5% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 27 |
10º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
18% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 27 |
12º
|
77.5% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 14 |
13º
|
53% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
14º
|
54.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
66.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
33.5% | 82% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 18% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pelikaan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
PEL
3 - 2
BRO
52%
21%
28%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
PEL
3 - 3
ORA
56%
21%
23%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
ZMV
4 - 2
PEL
6%
12%
82%
|
31 | 14 | 17 | -2 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
PEL
4 - 0
DRA
65%
19%
17%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
BAL
0 - 2
PEL
10%
17%
74%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Leeuwarder Zwaluwen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
LEE
2 - 2
WIN
56%
21%
23%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
VVG
5 - 5
LEE
33%
21%
46%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
LEE
9 - 1
VVG
60%
20%
21%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
WIN
0 - 3
LEE
54%
21%
25%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
LEE
0 - 0
FCB
61%
19%
20%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |