Pelikaan vs FVC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.7%
Win probability
2.95
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.3%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.6%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.6%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
11%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11%
5.3%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-78%
-49%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
1º
6º
1º
13
3º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
3º
|
48 | 52 |
1º
|
66.5% | |
|
1º
|
48 | 51 |
2º
|
84.5% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
49% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 50 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 50 |
5º
|
43.5% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 32 |
8º
|
94% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 29 |
9º
|
55.5% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 27 |
10º
|
23.5% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
18% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 27 |
12º
|
77.5% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 14 |
13º
|
53% | |
|
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
14º
|
54.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
66.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
33.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pelikaan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
WIN
3 - 1
PEL
19%
20%
60%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
DRA
3 - 2
PEL
14%
19%
67%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
LEE
1 - 0
PEL
13%
18%
70%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
PEL
1 - 1
TFE
91%
7%
3%
|
37 | 14 | 23 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
BRO
1 - 2
PEL
30%
23%
47%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
FVC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
FVC
2 - 4
BLA
10%
16%
74%
|
15 | 31 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
ONS
7 - 1
FVC
90%
7%
3%
|
15 | 32 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
FVC
2 - 2
GOR
17%
18%
66%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
FVC
1 - 3
WIN
25%
22%
53%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
VVG
3 - 4
FVC
67%
16%
17%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | +2 |