Pego vs Xirivella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
15%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15%
8%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
CAN
1 - 2
PEG
58%
22%
20%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
PEG
3 - 0
GUA
69%
19%
12%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
LLO
2 - 2
PEG
66%
21%
14%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
PEG
1 - 2
CAS
52%
23%
25%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
PEG
2 - 2
RAC
29%
24%
48%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Xirivella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
XIR
0 - 1
RAC
16%
20%
64%
|
11 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
CDT
5 - 1
XIR
75%
16%
9%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
XIR
2 - 2
BEN
20%
22%
58%
|
11 | 20 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
MUR
2 - 2
XIR
83%
12%
5%
|
11 | 27 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
XIR
1 - 2
REC
22%
23%
55%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | 0 |