Pego vs Villarreal C analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.4%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
51.7%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
LEV
0 - 0
PEG
67%
21%
13%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
PEG
1 - 1
GAN
18%
24%
58%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
JUV
3 - 2
PEG
60%
22%
19%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
PEG
0 - 0
NOV
24%
28%
48%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
ALI
3 - 0
PEG
70%
19%
11%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Villarreal C
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
VIL
2 - 0
UTI
64%
21%
15%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
CAS
2 - 3
VIL
38%
25%
37%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
VIL
1 - 1
TOR
52%
24%
25%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
VIL
2 - 1
LEV
50%
25%
25%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
GAN
1 - 0
VIL
43%
26%
32%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -1 |