Pego vs Alaquas I Walter A analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
12%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
27.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 1989 |
ALI
1 - 0
PEG
34%
29%
37%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1989 |
PEG
3 - 0
BEN
70%
19%
11%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1989 |
REQ
2 - 0
PEG
28%
30%
42%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 1989 |
PEG
2 - 1
ONT
37%
29%
34%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 1989 |
VIJ
0 - 0
PEG
67%
20%
13%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Alaquas I Walter A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 1989 |
ALA
1 - 0
RAC
51%
25%
24%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1989 |
BUR
4 - 0
ALA
72%
18%
10%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 1989 |
DEN
2 - 1
ALA
37%
28%
35%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 1989 |
ALA
3 - 0
ALI
75%
17%
9%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1989 |
BEN
0 - 0
ALA
29%
27%
43%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |