Pego vs Puzol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.5%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.1%
11.3%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2004 |
PEG
3 - 0
ELC
41%
27%
32%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2004 |
BEN
0 - 1
PEG
71%
20%
10%
|
33 | 49 | 16 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
PEG
2 - 3
ONT
33%
28%
39%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
OND
2 - 1
PEG
73%
17%
10%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
PEG
1 - 1
BUR
52%
26%
23%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Puzol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2003 |
VIN
2 - 0
UDP
69%
19%
12%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2003 |
UDP
0 - 2
VIJ
18%
26%
56%
|
25 | 45 | 20 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2003 |
DEN
1 - 0
UDP
62%
22%
17%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2003 |
UDP
0 - 1
SPO
23%
27%
50%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
ONT
1 - 2
UDP
70%
19%
11%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | +1 |