Pego vs Oliva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.8%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
18.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1962 |
ALC
3 - 1
PEG
80%
12%
7%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1962 |
PEG
4 - 0
TAV
69%
17%
14%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 1962 |
OND
3 - 1
PEG
72%
16%
12%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Dec. 1961 |
PEG
2 - 2
ACE
71%
16%
13%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1961 |
CUL
1 - 1
PEG
77%
14%
10%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Oliva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1962 |
OLI
1 - 2
GAN
39%
23%
38%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1962 |
SAG
2 - 0
OLI
56%
21%
22%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 1962 |
OLI
2 - 0
SDS
60%
20%
21%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +2 |
| 31 Dec. 1961 |
ONT
3 - 0
OLI
72%
16%
12%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | -2 |
| 17 Dec. 1961 |
OLI
5 - 0
CAN
66%
18%
17%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +2 |