Pego vs Castellonense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.2%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
30%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
ALG
0 - 0
PEG
63%
21%
16%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
PEG
1 - 0
RAC
45%
24%
31%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
SDS
1 - 1
PEG
58%
23%
19%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
PEG
1 - 2
CDG
39%
24%
37%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
TCF
0 - 0
PEG
35%
26%
39%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Castellonense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
CAS
0 - 0
ALB
31%
25%
44%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
CAN
2 - 1
CAS
58%
22%
20%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
CAS
3 - 2
ONT
74%
17%
9%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
CUL
1 - 1
CAS
55%
23%
23%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
CAS
0 - 1
REC
52%
23%
25%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | -1 |