Pego vs Castellonense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.2%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
24.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
PEG
2 - 2
RAC
29%
24%
48%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
CDT
2 - 2
PEG
51%
24%
25%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
PEG
1 - 1
BEN
35%
26%
39%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
MUR
3 - 1
PEG
73%
17%
10%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
REC
1 - 0
PEG
36%
25%
40%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Castellonense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
CAS
1 - 5
CUL
49%
24%
27%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
RAC
0 - 2
CAS
71%
18%
12%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
CAS
1 - 0
ONT
63%
20%
16%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
CDT
0 - 0
CAS
60%
22%
18%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2011 |
ALG
1 - 1
CAS
64%
20%
16%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |