Pego vs Carcaixent analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
20.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
ALG
1 - 1
PEG
28%
24%
49%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
PEG
2 - 1
ALC
78%
15%
7%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
SDS
1 - 3
PEG
55%
23%
22%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
PEG
3 - 1
ENG
40%
24%
36%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
JAV
0 - 1
PEG
56%
23%
21%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Carcaixent
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
UDC
2 - 0
PED
21%
21%
59%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
TAV
0 - 0
UDC
72%
16%
12%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
LAL
2 - 2
UDC
43%
25%
32%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
UDC
2 - 0
POR
55%
22%
23%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
UDC
1 - 2
POR
62%
21%
18%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | -1 |