Pego vs Thader analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.2%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
24.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
VAL
2 - 2
PEG
72%
18%
10%
|
33 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2008 |
PEG
1 - 2
ELD
30%
28%
42%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2008 |
JOV
0 - 0
PEG
43%
27%
30%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2008 |
NUC
2 - 0
PEG
59%
22%
19%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2007 |
PEG
3 - 1
CAT
39%
28%
34%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Thader
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
THA
2 - 0
CAS
48%
24%
28%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2008 |
OND
0 - 0
THA
49%
24%
27%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2008 |
THA
2 - 0
VIL
33%
25%
42%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | +3 |
| 06 Jan. 2008 |
THA
1 - 2
TOR
31%
26%
44%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2007 |
ALC
0 - 0
THA
47%
24%
28%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | -1 |