Pego vs Sp. Requena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.2%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
18%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
11.8%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2007 |
PEG
1 - 1
CRE
50%
25%
25%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
HOR
1 - 1
PEG
43%
27%
31%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
PEG
3 - 2
ELC
58%
23%
19%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
ALZ
0 - 0
PEG
36%
29%
35%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2007 |
PEG
0 - 0
CAT
50%
26%
24%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sp. Requena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2007 |
SPR
2 - 0
OND
17%
22%
60%
|
19 | 36 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
CRE
2 - 0
SPR
72%
18%
11%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
SPR
1 - 2
ALC
29%
26%
46%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
HOR
1 - 1
SPR
75%
16%
9%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2007 |
SPR
0 - 2
SDS
29%
25%
46%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | -1 |