Pego vs Portuarios analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.4%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
12.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-71%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
PEG
2 - 0
CTS
76%
16%
8%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
RAF
2 - 0
PEG
14%
20%
66%
|
23 | 14 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2018 |
TOU
2 - 1
PEG
16%
20%
64%
|
24 | 14 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
PEG
2 - 0
BEN
52%
23%
25%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
JAV
0 - 0
PEG
27%
24%
49%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Portuarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
RAF
1 - 0
POR
45%
24%
32%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
POR
0 - 0
JAV
32%
25%
44%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2018 |
POR
5 - 2
TAV
21%
23%
56%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | +2 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
DEN
2 - 0
POR
77%
15%
8%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
POR
2 - 0
TOU
34%
24%
42%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | +2 |