Pego vs Novelda CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
12%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
35.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2008 |
PEG
1 - 0
THA
51%
24%
25%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
VAL
2 - 2
PEG
72%
18%
10%
|
33 | 49 | 16 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2008 |
PEG
1 - 2
ELD
30%
28%
42%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2008 |
JOV
0 - 0
PEG
43%
27%
30%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2008 |
NUC
2 - 0
PEG
59%
22%
19%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
NOV
3 - 1
CAS
65%
21%
14%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2008 |
OND
1 - 0
NOV
29%
29%
41%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | -2 |
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
NOV
2 - 0
VIL
59%
23%
19%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2008 |
TOR
0 - 0
NOV
47%
27%
26%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2008 |
NOV
4 - 2
ALC
68%
21%
12%
|
44 | 29 | 15 | 0 |