Pego vs Novelda CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
35.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+64%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
DEN
4 - 1
PEG
71%
19%
10%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2007 |
PEG
1 - 0
PUÇ
67%
19%
14%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
PEG
2 - 1
OND
38%
27%
36%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2007 |
ALC
0 - 2
PEG
61%
22%
18%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | +2 |
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
PEG
1 - 1
SDS
43%
27%
30%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
NOV
1 - 0
CRE
58%
24%
18%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2007 |
DOL
1 - 0
NOV
22%
26%
52%
|
40 | 22 | 18 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
HOR
1 - 2
NOV
34%
29%
37%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2007 |
NOV
3 - 1
ELC
52%
26%
22%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
ALZ
1 - 0
NOV
23%
30%
48%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | -1 |