Pego vs Novelda CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.5%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.1%
+2
4.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.2%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
13%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
49.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
16.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.3%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2006 |
BUR
0 - 0
PEG
51%
26%
23%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2006 |
PEG
0 - 1
VAL
15%
25%
60%
|
25 | 50 | 25 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
DOL
3 - 1
PEG
60%
23%
18%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
PEG
0 - 3
CAS
28%
26%
46%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2006 |
TOR
2 - 1
PEG
52%
26%
23%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2006 |
NOV
2 - 2
ELD
45%
28%
27%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2006 |
ONT
1 - 2
NOV
36%
30%
35%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
NOV
1 - 1
GAN
69%
20%
11%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
UDP
0 - 0
NOV
27%
29%
43%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2006 |
NOV
3 - 0
CAT
59%
24%
17%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |