Pego vs Novelda CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
7%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.8%
29.9%
Draw
0-0
12.2%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.9%
34%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1999 |
ELC
3 - 0
PEG
52%
27%
21%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1999 |
PEG
0 - 2
GIM
55%
26%
19%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 1999 |
SAN
0 - 0
PEG
25%
31%
44%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1999 |
PEG
0 - 0
BUR
47%
28%
24%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1999 |
ALZ
1 - 0
PEG
36%
31%
33%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1999 |
NOV
3 - 0
SPO
76%
16%
8%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1999 |
TOR
1 - 0
NOV
21%
28%
51%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | -2 |
| 28 Mar. 1999 |
NOV
1 - 0
ELD
54%
25%
22%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 1999 |
OLI
1 - 3
NOV
25%
29%
47%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 1999 |
NOV
1 - 1
BUR
58%
24%
18%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | -1 |