Pego vs Novelda CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.5%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
3%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.1%
+2
4.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.3%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.8%
54.7%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
16.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.8%
0-2
12%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 1997 |
ALM
2 - 1
PEG
60%
23%
17%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1997 |
PEG
0 - 3
SAN
42%
27%
31%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 1997 |
PEG
2 - 2
JOV
33%
28%
39%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1997 |
ALC
3 - 2
PEG
77%
16%
7%
|
28 | 48 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1997 |
PEG
2 - 0
ALI
64%
22%
14%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 1997 |
NOV
0 - 1
ELD
54%
26%
20%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1997 |
PIN
2 - 0
NOV
33%
30%
37%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | -3 |
| 20 Apr. 1997 |
BUR
2 - 1
NOV
44%
28%
29%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 1997 |
NOV
1 - 0
ALM
74%
18%
9%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 1997 |
SAN
0 - 0
NOV
24%
26%
50%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | -1 |