Pego vs L'Olleria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.7%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
14.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
MON
0 - 3
PEG
33%
24%
44%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
PEG
2 - 1
MUR
65%
20%
15%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
UDC
0 - 1
PEG
42%
25%
34%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
PEG
0 - 3
ALG
59%
22%
20%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | -2 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
UEG
1 - 3
PEG
25%
24%
52%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
L'Olleria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
MUR
2 - 0
LOL
39%
25%
36%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
LOL
2 - 3
ALG
42%
24%
34%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
UDC
2 - 3
LOL
24%
23%
53%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
LOL
3 - 2
POR
80%
14%
7%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
RAF
4 - 1
LOL
48%
24%
28%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | -1 |