Pego vs Ilicitano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.8%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
18.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+59%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
OLI
1 - 0
PEG
47%
26%
27%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
PEG
0 - 1
NOV
36%
29%
35%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2008 |
PEG
1 - 0
THA
51%
24%
25%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
VAL
2 - 2
PEG
72%
18%
10%
|
33 | 49 | 16 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2008 |
PEG
1 - 2
ELD
30%
28%
42%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Ilicitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
ELC
2 - 2
CAS
38%
26%
36%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
OND
3 - 3
ELC
63%
22%
15%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
ELC
0 - 1
VIL
33%
25%
42%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2008 |
TOR
0 - 0
ELC
69%
20%
11%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
ELC
1 - 0
ALC
44%
26%
30%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | +1 |