Pego vs Ilicitano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
20.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
BUR
0 - 1
PEG
52%
26%
22%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
DEN
1 - 2
PEG
58%
25%
18%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
PEG
1 - 3
ACE
77%
15%
7%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
OND
1 - 0
PEG
64%
21%
15%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
PEG
2 - 1
VIL
35%
25%
40%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Ilicitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
ELC
2 - 2
DEN
44%
26%
30%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
ACE
0 - 1
ELC
21%
26%
53%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
ELC
0 - 0
OND
38%
26%
36%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
VIL
2 - 2
ELC
66%
20%
14%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
ELC
3 - 2
SPO
42%
27%
31%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | +2 |