Pego vs Ilicitano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
37.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1997 |
JOV
1 - 1
PEG
65%
21%
14%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1997 |
PEG
2 - 1
LLI
47%
26%
27%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 1997 |
UTI
1 - 0
PEG
57%
25%
19%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 1997 |
PEG
2 - 0
ELD
20%
27%
53%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | +3 |
| 14 Sep. 1997 |
BUR
2 - 0
PEG
67%
20%
13%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Ilicitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1997 |
ELC
1 - 2
BUR
43%
27%
31%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1997 |
JOV
3 - 0
ELC
41%
27%
33%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | -2 |
| 28 Sep. 1997 |
ELC
1 - 0
PIN
42%
28%
30%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | +2 |
| 21 Sep. 1997 |
LLI
0 - 5
ELC
43%
26%
31%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 1997 |
ELC
1 - 0
BEN
27%
28%
45%
|
28 | 48 | 20 | +4 |