Pego vs Ilicitano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
26.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-50%
+122%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 1989 |
DEN
2 - 0
PEG
58%
25%
17%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1989 |
PEG
0 - 0
CDC
58%
24%
18%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1989 |
LOL
0 - 0
PEG
41%
28%
32%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 1989 |
PEG
2 - 0
DOL
52%
25%
23%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | +2 |
| 12 Nov. 1989 |
UDC
4 - 0
PEG
68%
20%
12%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Ilicitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 1989 |
ELC
1 - 0
ALB
58%
24%
19%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1989 |
PIN
0 - 0
ELC
50%
26%
24%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1989 |
ELC
8 - 0
CAN
64%
23%
14%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 1989 |
ASP
1 - 1
ELC
49%
26%
25%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1989 |
ELC
4 - 1
MON
58%
24%
18%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | +1 |