Pego vs Dénia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.3%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
6%
2-1
4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.8%
61.9%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-59%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
FCC
1 - 0
PEG
47%
24%
29%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
PEG
3 - 1
TAV
28%
25%
47%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
GAN
0 - 2
PEG
59%
24%
17%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
PEG
1 - 1
JAV
26%
25%
49%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
ALG
3 - 1
PEG
75%
17%
8%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Dénia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
DEN
2 - 0
CDA
74%
17%
9%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
MAS
1 - 1
DEN
36%
25%
40%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
DEN
3 - 1
UDC
76%
17%
7%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
CAT
1 - 1
DEN
24%
25%
51%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
DEN
1 - 3
UEG
68%
19%
13%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | -1 |