Pego vs Dénia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
31.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
ACE
2 - 1
PEG
15%
26%
59%
|
35 | 16 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
PEG
3 - 2
OND
33%
28%
39%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | +2 |
| 03 Apr. 2005 |
VIL
2 - 1
PEG
64%
21%
16%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2005 |
PEG
0 - 0
SPO
41%
28%
31%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
GAN
2 - 1
PEG
51%
28%
21%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Dénia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
DEN
0 - 1
BUR
59%
24%
17%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
DEN
4 - 1
ACE
76%
16%
8%
|
38 | 16 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2005 |
OND
1 - 1
DEN
62%
21%
16%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2005 |
DEN
3 - 3
VIL
42%
25%
33%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
SPO
2 - 0
DEN
40%
28%
32%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -2 |