Pego vs Dénia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
28.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
VCF
2 - 1
PEG
51%
25%
24%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
PEG
2 - 1
ELD
44%
27%
29%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
VIL
0 - 1
PEG
69%
19%
12%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
PEG
0 - 1
SPO
50%
27%
23%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
HER
1 - 2
PEG
35%
26%
39%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Dénia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
DEN
0 - 1
LEV
34%
28%
38%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
DEN
0 - 1
VCF
56%
24%
20%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
ELD
0 - 1
DEN
46%
27%
27%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
DEN
1 - 0
VIL
30%
25%
45%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | +2 |
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
SPO
2 - 2
DEN
43%
28%
30%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |