Pego vs Dénia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.5%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
16.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.8%
15.7%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1999 |
FOY
0 - 0
PEG
43%
29%
28%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1999 |
PEG
1 - 2
NOV
36%
30%
34%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 1999 |
ELC
3 - 0
PEG
52%
27%
21%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -2 |
| 11 Apr. 1999 |
PEG
0 - 2
GIM
55%
26%
19%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 1999 |
SAN
0 - 0
PEG
25%
31%
44%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Dénia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1999 |
DEN
1 - 1
SPO
50%
26%
25%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1999 |
TOR
2 - 0
DEN
54%
25%
21%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 1999 |
DEN
1 - 1
ELD
22%
28%
50%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 1999 |
OLI
1 - 5
DEN
59%
24%
18%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | +2 |
| 28 Mar. 1999 |
DEN
0 - 2
BUR
28%
29%
44%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | -2 |