Pego vs Orba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
36.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
SIM
1 - 3
PEG
37%
24%
39%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
PEG
3 - 1
REA
70%
18%
12%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
OCF
0 - 1
PEG
78%
14%
8%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
OLI
2 - 2
PEG
52%
23%
25%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
PEG
1 - 2
POR
54%
23%
22%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Orba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
ORB
2 - 2
BEN
26%
21%
53%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
ORB
1 - 2
CDL
92%
6%
2%
|
20 | 10 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
SIM
1 - 3
ORB
31%
23%
46%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
ORB
3 - 0
UDO
77%
14%
10%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
BNP
1 - 3
ORB
20%
20%
60%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | +1 |