Pego vs Xeraco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.8%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
14%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
BEN
1 - 9
PEG
25%
21%
54%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
PEG
2 - 4
ALT
64%
21%
15%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
PED
3 - 3
PEG
42%
22%
36%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
PEG
3 - 1
MUT
47%
23%
30%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
OLI
1 - 3
PEG
38%
25%
37%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Xeraco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
XER
2 - 1
GOR
23%
20%
57%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
UDO
0 - 4
XER
75%
16%
9%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | +3 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
XER
0 - 1
RAF
8%
15%
77%
|
14 | 27 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
REA
3 - 0
XER
67%
18%
15%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
BEN
2 - 1
XER
59%
19%
22%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | -2 |