Pego vs SB Ontinyent analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
60.9%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+55%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
PRO
5 - 0
PEG
78%
14%
8%
|
15 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
PEG
1 - 2
ALB
17%
23%
60%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
PEG
1 - 3
MUR
16%
21%
63%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
RAC
2 - 1
PEG
67%
19%
14%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
PEG
0 - 1
CAN
62%
20%
18%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
SB Ontinyent
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
SPO
2 - 0
FON
42%
24%
34%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
MAS
0 - 1
SPO
58%
21%
21%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
LLX
0 - 1
SPO
68%
18%
14%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
SPO
4 - 1
POR
38%
24%
38%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
RAF
0 - 1
SPO
48%
22%
30%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | +1 |