Pego vs Rafelguaraf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
39.8%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-71%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
ALG
2 - 0
PEG
75%
15%
10%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
PEG
2 - 1
LAL
26%
24%
50%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
CTS
0 - 0
PEG
77%
14%
9%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
PEG
1 - 1
SPO
18%
22%
61%
|
14 | 22 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
PRO
5 - 0
PEG
78%
14%
8%
|
15 | 26 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Rafelguaraf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
RAF
0 - 1
FON
35%
23%
42%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
MAS
4 - 1
RAF
63%
20%
18%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
RAF
0 - 0
LLX
27%
23%
50%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
POR
1 - 0
RAF
44%
23%
33%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
UEM
3 - 2
RAF
39%
22%
39%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |